BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


-----------------------------------------------


Fresno St

Class: 1A Class Rank: 63 Conference: Mountain West Conference Record: (8-1) Overall: (9-4) Overall Strength =  150.70

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/01/2022 Home    W   134.45  35   7   1B  94 (  2-  9) Cal Poly SLO          -15.00 *   43.00                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    L   158.46  32  35   1A  16 (  9-  3) Oregon St               9.00    -12.00                      
  3 09/17/2022 Away    L   139.55  17  45   1A  15 ( 11-  2) Southern Cal           -9.90    -18.10                      
  4 10/01/2022 Away    L   129.66  14  19   1A 114 (  6-  6) Connecticut           -19.79     14.79                      
  5 10/08/2022 Away    L * 132.64  20  40   1A  64 (  9-  4) Boise St              -16.81     -3.19                      
  6 10/15/2022 Home    W * 147.01  17  10   1A  89 (  7-  4) San Jose St            -2.44      9.44                      
  7 10/22/2022 Away    W * 160.88  41   9   1A 128 (  2- 10) New Mexico             11.43     20.57                      
  8 10/29/2022 Home    W * 142.88  32  28   1A  92 (  7-  5) San Diego St           -6.57     10.57                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    W * 164.47  55  13   1A 129 (  3- 10) Hawaii                 15.02     26.98                      
 10 11/11/2022 Away    W * 145.25  37  30   1A 106 (  5-  7) UNLV                   -4.20     11.20                      
 11 11/19/2022 Away    W * 158.17  41  14   1A 125 (  2- 10) Nevada                  8.72     18.28                      
 12 11/25/2022 Home    W * 164.80  30   0   1A 102 (  7-  5) Wyoming                15.35     14.65                      
 13 12/03/2022 Away    W * 164.64  28  16   1A  64 (  9-  4) Boise St               15.19     -3.19                      
      Averages             149.45  30.7 20.5

Best game:  164.80 = 30 point win over Wyoming
Worst game: 129.66 = 5 point loss to Connecticut
Team stdev:  13.05